Wind Astra ClericTier 1
at Michigan AMB Regionals
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 15.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.9 |
| Wind Allies | 13.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.5% | +11.0 |
| Slimes | 11.9% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.2 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 10.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.2% | +3.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.8% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 61.2% | +8.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.1% | 4 | 2-0-2 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 48.5% | -0.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 47.3% | -2.0 |
| Fire Polkhawk | 1.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.1% | -4.6 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
| Water Slimes | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 18 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 18 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Barter Herbs | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mnemonic Charm | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spellshield: Astra | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Harvest Herbs | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Meteor Strike | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fertile Grounds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cometfall | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Horticounter | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |